tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → New Orleans via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 17:10 MDW → 20:22 ATL
    DL 1728 · Delta · 2h 10m · 74% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 48m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:10 ATL → 23:43 MSY
    DL 2224 · Delta · 1h 34m · 83% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 123 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 48m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 34mMDW 17:10 to MSY 23:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.