tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Rochester via Atlanta: arrives on time 60%

  1. 17:10 MDW → 20:22 ATL
    DL 1728 · Delta · 2h 10m · 74% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 24m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:46 ATL → 23:57 ROC
    DL 2472 · Delta · 2h 11m · 75% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Rochester is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 39 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 24m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip5h 47mMDW 17:10 to ROC 23:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.