tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Newark via Atlanta: arrives on time 62%

  1. 17:10 MDW → 20:22 ATL
    DL 1728 · Delta · 2h 10m · 74% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 18m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 ATL → 00:57 EWR +1 day
    DL 2552 · Delta · 2h 18m · 70% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 93 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 18m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip6h 48mMDW 17:10 to EWR 00:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.