tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Raleigh/Durham via Atlanta: arrives on time 61%

  1. 17:10 MDW → 20:22 ATL
    DL 1728 · Delta · 2h 10m · 74% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 48m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:10 ATL → 00:42 RDU +1 day
    DL 2938 · Delta · 1h 32m · 66% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 123 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 48m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip6h 32mMDW 17:10 to RDU 00:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.