tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 57%

  1. 17:10 MDW → 20:22 ATL
    DL 1728 · Delta · 2h 10m · 74% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 33m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:55 ATL → 23:44 DCA
    DL 537 · Delta · 1h 49m · 70% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 48 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 33m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 34mMDW 17:10 to DCA 23:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.