tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Las Vegas via Atlanta: arrives on time 48%

  1. 17:10 MDW → 20:22 ATL
    DL 1728 · Delta · 2h 10m · 74% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 ATL → 22:39 LAS
    DL 825 · Delta · 4h 19m · 67% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip7h 29mMDW 17:10 to LAS 22:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.