tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Memphis via Minneapolis: arrives on time 75%

  1. 11:17 MCO → 13:46 MSP
    DL 1730 · Delta · 3h 29m · 90% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 59m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:45 MSP → 17:59 MEM
    DL 4063 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 14m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 74 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 59m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip7h 42mMCO 11:17 to MEM 17:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.