tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Seattle via Orlando: arrives on time 39%

  1. 16:00 ATL → 17:40 MCO
    DL 1742 · Delta · 1h 40m · 57% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:43 MCO → 22:05 SEA
    DL 328 · Delta · 6h 22m · 68% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 9h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip9h 05mATL 16:00 to SEA 22:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.