tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Memphis via Atlanta: arrives on time 41%

  1. 18:48 MCO → 20:48 ATL
    DL 1742 · Delta · 1h 59m · 55% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:49 ATL → 22:13 MEM
    DL 1577 · Delta · 1h 24m · 76% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 25mMCO 18:48 to MEM 22:13, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.