tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Birmingham via Atlanta: arrives on time 41%

  1. 18:48 MCO → 20:48 ATL
    DL 1742 · Delta · 1h 59m · 55% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:44 ATL → 21:40 BHM
    DL 2257 · Delta · 56m · 83% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 3h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Birmingham is 1 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection51%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 49% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (51%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip3h 52mMCO 18:48 to BHM 21:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.