tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Rochester via Atlanta: arrives on time 38%

  1. 18:48 MCO → 20:48 ATL
    DL 1742 · Delta · 1h 59m · 55% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:46 ATL → 23:57 ROC
    DL 2472 · Delta · 2h 11m · 75% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip5h 09mMCO 18:48 to ROC 23:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.