tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Louisville via Detroit: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:05 DEN → 10:57 DTW
    DL 1745 · Delta · 2h 52m · 90% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:13 DTW → 13:39 SDF
    DL 5160 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 26m · 76% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 2 h ahead of Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip5h 34mDEN 06:05 to SDF 13:39, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.