tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Louisville via Minneapolis: arrives on time 58%

  1. 07:01 DTW → 07:55 MSP
    DL 1746 · Delta · 1h 54m · 84% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 MSP → 12:00 SDF
    DL 4988 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 00m · 68% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip4h 59mDTW 07:01 to SDF 12:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.