tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → San Diego via Minneapolis: arrives on time 68%

  1. 07:01 DTW → 07:55 MSP
    DL 1746 · Delta · 1h 54m · 84% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:55 MSP → 10:43 SAN
    DL 2121 · Delta · 3h 48m · 82% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip6h 42mDTW 07:01 to SAN 10:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.