tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Memphis via Minneapolis: arrives on time 77%

  1. 07:01 DTW → 07:55 MSP
    DL 1746 · Delta · 1h 54m · 84% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:10 MSP → 11:25 MEM
    DL 3989 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 15m · 87% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip5h 24mDTW 07:01 to MEM 11:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.