tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Grand Rapids via Detroit: arrives on time 55%

  1. 14:18 MCO → 17:06 DTW
    DL 1747 · Delta · 2h 48m · 69% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:00 DTW → 19:01 GRR
    DL 5800 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 01m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip4h 43mMCO 14:18 to GRR 19:01, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.