tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Myers → Minneapolis via Detroit: arrives on time 49%

  1. 12:43 RSW → 15:36 DTW
    DL 1797 · Delta · 2h 53m · 75% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:25 DTW → 17:20 MSP
    DL 2203 · Delta · 1h 55m · 76% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Fort Myers). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip5h 37mRSW 12:43 to MSP 17:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.