tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → New York via Detroit: arrives on time 48%

  1. 16:45 PWM → 18:54 DTW
    DL 1821 · Delta · 2h 09m · 72% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:10 DTW → 22:16 JFK
    DL 1316 · Delta · 2h 03m · 62% on time, 6.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (6.3% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip5h 28mPWM 16:45 to JFK 22:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.