tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → New York via Detroit: arrives on time 64%

  1. 16:45 PWM → 18:54 DTW
    DL 1821 · Delta · 2h 09m · 72% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 56m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 DTW → 23:41 LGA
    DL 2603 · Delta · 1h 51m · 74% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 131 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 56m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip6h 56mPWM 16:45 to LGA 23:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.