tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte Amalie → Dulles via Atlanta: arrives on time 67%

  1. 13:20 STT → 17:18 ATL
    DL 1823 · Delta · 3h 58m · 81% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 57m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:15 ATL → 21:03 IAD
    DL 1309 · Delta · 1h 49m · 76% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 72 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 57m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 44mSTT 13:20 to IAD 21:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.