tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte Amalie → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 43%

  1. 13:20 STT → 17:18 ATL
    DL 1823 · Delta · 3h 58m · 81% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 12m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:30 ATL → 23:04 JFK
    DL 2101 · Delta · 2h 34m · 47% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 9h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 147 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 12m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip9h 44mSTT 13:20 to JFK 23:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.