tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte Amalie → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 65%

  1. 13:20 STT → 17:18 ATL
    DL 1823 · Delta · 3h 58m · 81% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 24m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:42 ATL → 21:28 JFK
    DL 2398 · Delta · 2h 46m · 76% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 39 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 24m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip8h 08mSTT 13:20 to JFK 21:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.