tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte Amalie → Newark via Atlanta: arrives on time 46%

  1. 13:20 STT → 17:18 ATL
    DL 1823 · Delta · 3h 58m · 81% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:35 ATL → 20:54 EWR
    DL 2498 · Delta · 2h 20m · 56% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip7h 35mSTT 13:20 to EWR 20:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.