tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte Amalie → Orlando via Atlanta: arrives on time 47%

  1. 13:20 STT → 17:18 ATL
    DL 1823 · Delta · 3h 58m · 81% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 49m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 20:07 ATL → 21:47 MCO
    F9 4026 · Frontier · 1h 46m · 53% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 79 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 49m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip8h 33mSTT 13:20 to MCO 21:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.