tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte Amalie → Dulles via Atlanta: arrives on time 68%

  1. 13:20 STT → 17:18 ATL
    DL 1823 · Delta · 3h 58m · 81% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 14m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 19:32 ATL → 21:30 IAD
    UA 2634 · United · 1h 58m · 77% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 44 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 14m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip8h 10mSTT 13:20 to IAD 21:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.