tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Dulles via Minneapolis: arrives on time 75%

  1. 11:12 CLT → 12:59 MSP
    DL 1827 · Delta · 2h 47m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 31m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:30 MSP → 18:04 IAD
    DL 3783 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 34m · 80% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 46 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 31m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 52mCLT 11:12 to IAD 18:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.