tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Des Moines via Minneapolis: arrives on time 43%

  1. 18:10 DTW → 19:08 MSP
    DL 1842 · Delta · 1h 58m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:54 MSP → 21:08 DSM
    DL 5253 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 14m · 73% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 3h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Des Moines is 1 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip3h 58mDTW 18:10 to DSM 21:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.