tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Hartford via Minneapolis: arrives on time 50%

  1. 18:10 DTW → 19:08 MSP
    DL 1842 · Delta · 1h 58m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 MSP → 23:43 BDL
    DL 2871 · Delta · 2h 43m · 78% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip5h 33mDTW 18:10 to BDL 23:43, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.