tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Spokane → Sacramento via Minneapolis: arrives on time 70%

  1. 12:35 GEG → 17:30 MSP
    DL 1853 · Delta · 2h 55m · 89% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:45 MSP → 20:37 SMF
    DL 574 · Delta · 3h 52m · 79% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip8h 02mGEG 12:35 to SMF 20:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.