tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → New York via Detroit: arrives on time 62%

  1. 11:44 SNA → 19:06 DTW
    DL 1856 · Delta · 4h 22m · 55% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 44m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 DTW → 23:41 LGA
    DL 2603 · Delta · 1h 51m · 74% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 119 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 44m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip8h 57mSNA 11:44 to LGA 23:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.