tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Austin via Detroit: arrives on time 43%

  1. 15:27 IAH → 19:15 DTW
    DL 1865 · Delta · 2h 48m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:09 DTW → 22:11 AUS
    DL 2578 · Delta · 3h 02m · 76% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 44mIAH 15:27 to AUS 22:11, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.