tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Cleveland via Detroit: arrives on time 47%

  1. 15:27 IAH → 19:15 DTW
    DL 1865 · Delta · 2h 48m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:15 DTW → 21:17 CLE
    DL 4071 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 02m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Cleveland is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 50mIAH 15:27 to CLE 21:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.