tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte Amalie → Miami via Atlanta: arrives on time 46%

  1. 15:33 STT → 19:30 ATL
    DL 1883 · Delta · 3h 57m · 82% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:16 ATL → 22:17 MIA
    DL 1588 · Delta · 2h 01m · 66% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip6h 44mSTT 15:33 to MIA 22:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.