tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte Amalie → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 36%

  1. 15:33 STT → 19:30 ATL
    DL 1883 · Delta · 3h 57m · 82% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:30 ATL → 23:04 JFK
    DL 2101 · Delta · 2h 34m · 47% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip7h 31mSTT 15:33 to JFK 23:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.