tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Atlanta via Orlando: arrives on time 42%

  1. 15:30 MSP → 20:02 MCO
    DL 1885 · Delta · 3h 30m · 71% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:55 MCO → 22:54 ATL
    DL 2035 · Delta · 1h 59m · 72% on time, 4.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (4.3% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip6h 24mMSP 15:30 to ATL 22:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.