tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 86%

  1. 05:15 BHM → 07:21 ATL
    DL 1979 · Delta · 1h 06m · 98% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:38 ATL → 10:08 TPA
    DL 1227 · Delta · 1h 31m · 91% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 3h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip3h 54mBHM 05:15 to TPA 10:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.