tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 68%

  1. 05:15 BHM → 07:21 ATL
    DL 1979 · Delta · 1h 06m · 98% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 42m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:03 ATL → 11:40 TPA
    F9 3782 · Frontier · 1h 37m · 72% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 72 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 42m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 25mBHM 05:15 to TPA 11:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.