tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 05:15 BHM → 07:21 ATL
    DL 1979 · Delta · 1h 06m · 98% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 37m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 08:58 ATL → 11:00 DCA
    AA 5050 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 02m · 83% on time, 4.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 37m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (4.6% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip4h 45mBHM 05:15 to DCA 11:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.