tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 83%

  1. 05:15 BHM → 07:21 ATL
    DL 1979 · Delta · 1h 06m · 98% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 03m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:24 ATL → 11:49 LGA
    AA 4628 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 25m · 91% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 03m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip5h 34mBHM 05:15 to LGA 11:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.