tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Santa Ana via Portland: arrives on time 90%

  1. 15:58 MSP → 17:37 PDX
    DL 2008 · Delta · 3h 39m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 22m layover in Portland (PDX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 19:59 PDX → 22:30 SNA
    AS 518 · Alaska · 2h 31m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 52 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 22m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (96%).
Total trip8h 32mMSP 15:58 to SNA 22:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.