tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Sacramento via Atlanta: arrives on time 80%

  1. 13:31 AUS → 17:00 ATL
    DL 2011 · Delta · 2h 29m · 86% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 59m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:59 ATL → 22:54 SMF
    DL 682 · Delta · 4h 55m · 82% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 11h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 194 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 59m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip11h 23mAUS 13:31 to SMF 22:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.