tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Las Vegas via Santa Ana: arrives on time 58%

  1. 17:30 ATL → 19:06 SNA
    DL 2012 · Delta · 4h 36m · 71% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Santa Ana (SNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:08 SNA → 21:26 LAS
    DL 4179 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 18m · 83% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 56mATL 17:30 to LAS 21:26, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.