tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → Detroit via Seattle: arrives on time 45%

  1. 20:44 SLC → 22:05 SEA
    DL 2016 · Delta · 2h 21m · 46% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:10 SEA → 06:27 DTW +1 day
    DL 810 · Delta · 4h 17m · 88% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip7h 43mSLC 20:44 to DTW 06:27, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.