tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Washington via Orlando: arrives on time 35%

  1. 18:00 ATL → 19:45 MCO
    DL 2035 · Delta · 1h 45m · 57% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:40 MCO → 22:59 DCA
    DL 2729 · Delta · 2h 19m · 70% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 59mATL 18:00 to DCA 22:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.