tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Seattle via Salt Lake City: arrives on time 27%

  1. 16:40 MCO → 19:30 SLC
    DL 2036 · Delta · 4h 50m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Salt Lake City (SLC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:44 SLC → 22:05 SEA
    DL 2016 · Delta · 2h 21m · 46% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip8h 25mMCO 16:40 to SEA 22:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.