tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Asheville → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 46%

  1. 17:07 AVL → 18:14 ATL
    DL 2037 · Delta · 1h 07m · 78% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:00 ATL → 21:25 LGA
    DL 468 · Delta · 2h 25m · 67% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip4h 18mAVL 17:07 to LGA 21:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.