tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Honolulu via Detroit: arrives on time 65%

  1. 07:01 ORD → 09:30 DTW
    DL 2039 · Delta · 1h 29m · 87% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 DTW → 14:01 HNL
    DL 307 · Delta · 9h 31m · 77% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 12h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 5 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip12h 00mORD 07:01 to HNL 14:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.