tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Fairbanks via Seattle: arrives on time 63%

  1. 06:55 ORD → 09:31 SEA
    DL 2041 · Delta · 4h 36m · 74% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:40 SEA → 13:35 FAI
    DL 1061 · Delta · 3h 55m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fairbanks is 3 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip9h 40mORD 06:55 to FAI 13:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.