tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → New Orleans via New York: arrives on time 71%

  1. 11:08 TPA → 13:59 JFK
    DL 2042 · Delta · 2h 51m · 87% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 32m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:31 JFK → 18:02 MSY
    DL 1387 · Delta · 3h 31m · 80% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 47 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 32m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 54mTPA 11:08 to MSY 18:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.