tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Seattle via New York: arrives on time 66%

  1. 11:08 TPA → 13:59 JFK
    DL 2042 · Delta · 2h 51m · 87% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 51m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:50 JFK → 20:19 SEA
    DL 740 · Delta · 6h 29m · 71% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 12h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 126 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 51m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip12h 11mTPA 11:08 to SEA 20:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.